Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.348632 0.404295 0.462856 0.528772 0.600615 0.676274 0.761701
2025-01-05 0.265787 0.341284 0.425772 0.526174 0.641105 0.767500 0.915944
2025-01-12 0.207280 0.294176 0.397292 0.525949 0.679524 0.854504 1.066479
2025-01-19 0.168799 0.263722 0.382671 0.537598 0.729191 0.953881 1.232828
2025-01-26 0.141194 0.241945 0.374772 0.554511 0.783626 1.058840 1.407364
2025-02-02 0.119146 0.223639 0.368252 0.570908 0.836261 1.161673 1.580744
2025-02-09 0.095425 0.198591 0.349179 0.568103 0.862693 1.231458 1.714197
2025-02-16 0.079807 0.182938 0.340908 0.578003 0.904464 1.320097 1.871443
2025-02-23 0.064036 0.163868 0.325115 0.575415 0.928284 1.385249 1.999429
2025-03-02 0.047339 0.139299 0.297737 0.553476 0.923715 1.412245 2.078255
2025-03-09 0.038904 0.128326 0.290379 0.559725 0.957270 1.488893 2.220938
2025-03-16 0.029526 0.112805 0.273419 0.549746 0.966751 1.532877 2.321177
2025-03-23 0.025790 0.109254 0.277121 0.572463 1.024476 1.643934 2.512453
2025-03-30 0.020040 0.098959 0.267429 0.573056 1.049708 1.711115 2.646844
2025-04-06 0.015467 0.089981 0.258951 0.574743 1.076128 1.779985 2.784098
2025-04-13 0.012685 0.085124 0.257790 0.588220 1.120196 1.873699 2.955480
2025-04-20 0.010711 0.082051 0.259767 0.606828 1.172161 1.978894 3.143192
2025-04-27 0.008969 0.078997 0.261360 0.624617 1.223038 2.083065 3.330464
2025-05-04 0.006442 0.071206 0.251693 0.621864 1.241696 2.141576 3.456027
2025-05-11 0.005015 0.067138 0.249711 0.632503 1.281248 2.230121 3.623262
2025-05-18 0.003415 0.060519 0.240822 0.629831 1.299331 2.287770 3.748348
2025-05-25 0.001759 0.050456 0.221703 0.606573 1.283267 2.295222 3.803638
2025-06-01 0.001172 0.046918 0.218504 0.613236 1.315598 2.373380 3.957628